horse racing trading strategy. This decides the horse’s official racing (seen as OR on race cards). horse racing trading strategy

 
 This decides the horse’s official racing (seen as OR on race cards)horse racing trading strategy Which Horse Racing Strategy is Best? There are an infinite amount of ways to trade a horse race on Betfair

Pre-Race Trading Guide - this Betfair scalping example that made £33. Horse racing betting is a much more straight forward method of wagering than trading. Another generous betting strategy in horse racing is Exacta. 70 with £42. It's a double-edged sword as the volatility is the reason why it can be such a profitable trading environment, but it's also why it can be such a tricky trading strategy to conquer. In today’s article, we have covered two of the best pre-race trading strategies to use for horse racing in 2022. A key thing in the 2nd favourite strategy is research. So you have moments of normal time decay, accelerated time decay and then compression points. How to Turn These Horse Racing Betting Strategies Into Long Term Profit. Bet Angel contains an advanced Dutching calculator. After all, every trader’s job is to fit in with the current setting and steal some value for themselves. Betting markets operate to 100% over-round on Betfair because of the cross-matching algorithm. In this video, I will show you a simple back bet live on screen. . It is a well known strategy and probably one of the oldest and most common Tennis Trading strategies around. We just want to create a structure that will allow us to trade effectively. This means you can increase stakes, and potentially increase profit. So far, more than 11,000 digital horses have been sold on the platform. step 1. For the purposes of this example, the commission has been eliminated to make. 00 at £10. In a nutshell, the idea is you back a selection at 10. Horse Racing Tips and Predictions Paul Nicholls: Bravemansgame is in top order and has a great chance to win Betfair Chase; US Sports UK NFL Thanksgiving Tips: Back Lions, Lamb and a 17/2. Betfair Trading – Scalping – Explained Part 2/3. The most important thing we have to do is to find a race in which the two highest-placed horses have an excellent series of victories. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or new to horse racing betting, our longshot tips can help. What are the key rules to be aware of? Horse racing is fairly simple in terms of results, like any race the quickest horse to get to the finish line (or post as it is referred. My name is Carl and I have been successfully trading Betfair's Horse Racing In-Play Markets since 2014. There are also very helpful tips about bankroll management and trading hacks you can use to make money on the horse racing markets. By carefully analyzing the probabilities and comparing them with the odds offered by bookmakers, you can identify horses with higher potential payouts and place bets on them. On average UK horse races match around about. 1. Betfair scalping is a popular trading strategy among those interested in horse-racing markets but, for the uninitiated at least, it needs to be explained before you can get the most out of it. In the picture above you will see the horse Copper Baked is priced at 1. A common approach is by backing an event to lay it in an in-play mode at lower odds and take out profits. One of the main one of these is when backing a favourite. The variance in price will only go up and down a fraction, otherwise known as ticks. FormGenie predicts winners of horse racing with remarkable accuracy with the top-rated winning over 40%. It can help protect your budget from dry spells while also increasing the enjoyment you get from your bets. Bookmakers set their odds so as they are assured to win a certain percentage each race, called the vigorish, or “vig” for short. Due to the nature of the game, and all the court-siders, it’s easier for the big boys to model. Step One:American Horse Racing Trading Strategy: Adjusting your strategy for the US horse racing markets is crucial. 1 – Swing Trading. The most important tip is to factor the trading volumes and fill rate into your Betfair scalping strategy. Whether you're completely new to Betfair, or a full time trader of other sports now seeking to profit from the horse racing markets, this article is for you. The difference in tick values changes here from 0. 0 and 4. 4. . It’s as simple as that! Most people run into trouble looking for consistent market movements. The Laying The Field or “Lay All” method is one of the easiest horse racing trading strategies to learn for beginners. Don’t go in to a market expecting to make money If you go in with this mindset it will be hard to accept a red should you need to, often this will lead to a bigger red. Assuming that the horse hits the desired odds of 5. In this post I’ll cover: What makes a good in-play strategy; Pro’s and con’s of trading in-play; Opportunities to develop your in-play horse racing strategies; Statistical data and horse racing strategies. A common approach is by backing an event to lay it in an in-play mode at lower odds and take out profits. The tactic is to observe a horse racing market around 20 minutes. Paul started trading Betfair in 2008. After 3 runs the horse is given a rating. Horse Racing 20 days ago. To understand positive EV, it’s important to know about the concept of probability. Recent Winner. Simplicity is the first attribute that comes to mind. 5ht while it’s still 0-0. In a nutshell, the idea is you back a selection at 10. Members then collaborate making suggestions to refine and improve them. The calculation for matched volume goes something like this: If I was to place a £10 back bet at 2. 3 Horse Racing Trading Strategies; SCALPING: A Beginners Guide; Matched Betting Tips; 3 Tennis Trading Strategies; £400 Bank 3 Day Challenge; 4 Football Trading Strategies; 6 Full-Time Traders: 3 Questions; 5 Stages: Trading For A LivingSo this is a trade called Lay the Field. For example: If the range in a market is between 4. This will increase your chances because you will win if any of those selections wins. Pre-race horse trading is particularly profitable due to the large number of races everyday throughout the year. Both strategies can be utilized with larger stakes and less risk, given the. Different bet types – So many to choose from. Smarkets is a. Show: Bet on a horse to finish in the top three. If the horse wins:The Timestamps for the video are: 0:20 What is trading?; 0:37 How does trading work?; 1:25 Horse racing trade on the Exchange website ; 2:50 Step 1 of a Betfair horse racing trade (opening) ; 3:14 Step 2 of a trade on Betfair’s Exchange ; 3:35 Step 3 of a horse racing trade (closing out) ; 4:51 Numerical trading breakdown; Starting on. 5 @ 1. 5 goals if you think the odds are higher than they should be. We suggest reading the article below. For example; if the horse is now trading 2/1 and you have backed it at 3/1 – you have an excellent value bet. Long before betting exchanges like. The ratios are constantly changing and these fluctuations can be the source of. Speaking broadly, Dutching is a viable betting strategy on the betting exchanges now as the book overround is so small. Horse Racing Dutching Strategy is a famous betting strategy used to maximise winning chances for maximum profits. Laying The Field: A Simple Betfair Racing Trading Strategy. 0 4/1 for £10 and lay it back at 2. My suggestion would be to start with a sport that you understand and have an interest in. Perhaps the added control and dynamic aspect of horse racing trading appeal more to you. My second horse racing lay system is exclusively for National Hunt Jumps racing. This is a type of trading strategy where a trader seeks to capture gains by holding a position for a period ranging from. The first show. By Caan August 25, 2021 August 25, 2021 Betfair, Horse Racing, Trading Strategies, Video Posts. Watch the below video explaining Betfair Scalping as 1 of 3 strategies;The handicapper’s job is to assess a horse based on running history. Dutching is a strategy where you bet on multiple horses in a race to increase your chances of winning. Similar to betting volumes and streaming information, the news is a source of change. If you’ve not yet seen part one you can read it here. Dobbing is a popular Betfair trading strategy for trading and using in the in-play period of horse racing markets. Susquehanna’s sports. It’s basically the rule that makes all the prices add up and make forming a betting market possible. Command Center Information about all of today's races on one screen. Compared to other Betfair trading styles that may not seem like a lot, although consistent trading is the best trading. Horses For Courses – Good record at the track. In play horse racing trading has its traps that can sucker you in to losing money. Discover strategies and tips to help you become a successful trader and maximize your profits. When discussing trading horse racing on Betfair, understanding key price movement indicators is essential for making informed decisions. It means you are betting that the given selection will not win. Search for profitable angles for any handicapping situation. Betfair can offer superb betting opportunities when there are non runners. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA. How To Trade Greyhounds On Betfair: Video Strategy. The idea is. A "back bet" in horse racing trading on Betfair is when you place a bet on a horse or outcome to win. The concept is that the jockey knows the horse well enough and has a higher chance to place first. However, winning multiple bets may be more difficult. Likewise, they will spend countless hours calculating what type of ground we will have based on the forecast, even ignoring what the clerk of the course says. Hindsight is always an easy thing, but there’s a lot of good opportunity to trade Aussie horse racing. This is a Betfair trading strategy that ca. . If your pick crosses the finish. The 80/20 System. These tips can also be applied to other sports. 3 Horse Racing Trading Strategies; SCALPING: A Beginners Guide; Matched. For example, between the prices of 3. The Correct Score market on Betfair is one of the most lucrative and exciting markets to use for trading football but at the same time it also one of the most complex and it is probably the hardest to. Profit = £100. In the summer there is evening racing so if you want to trade. A front-running horse’s price will typically contract in-play, due to its running style. Strong home favourites with the crowd behind often usually also have the market following them. 4 Download the App from the vendor’s site by clicking the ‘Download’ button. In this guide, we’re going to focus on the safest way to make a profit, although we will touch on additional strategy after. Once a match goes in play, price movements become somewhat ‘mechanical’. One of the essential things a lot of beginners should do but often forget is to do research. A betting system is a structured approach to betting that can help you make better decisions and manage your bankroll effectively. The markets are starting to form and the morning shows appear with bookies. Which Horse Racing Strategy is Best? There are an infinite amount of ways to trade a horse race on Betfair. This decides the horse’s official racing (seen as OR on race cards). 3 Horse Racing Trading Strategies; SCALPING: A Beginners Guide; Matched Betting Tips; 3 Tennis Trading Strategies; £400 Bank 3 Day Challenge; 4 Football Trading Strategies; 6 Full-Time Traders: 3 Questions; 5 Stages: Trading For A LivingAn each-way bet is a type of wager placed on a horse in a race. So without further ado let’s see how forum favourite and serial horse racing profiteer John Folan readies himself for a big day of trading. Nonetheless, if you carry out the necessary background works, understand the game well, and do a proper selection, the payout is usually huge. Top 5 tips for new traders approaching the horse racing markets. Betfair Charges Betfair Premium Charge Premium Charge. 1: In-play horse racing strategies for beginners. Horse racing tips: Dundalk, Cheltenham and Wolverhampton – Friday October 27. That works out at £6. Our team was asked to answer a new question in horse racing:. Trading 10 minutes before the start in today’s conditions would have led to all sorts of problems. Lay Low Odds. As the name suggests, pre-match trading is done before the start of a match or race, and you exit the market with a profit before the event gets underway. This can be done by placing the counter-bet ahead of time or manually whilst watching the race. Selection isn’t quite so fast, ruling out ‘maybe trades’ is vital. This resulted in a strike rate of about 85%. A professional trader who specialises in trading horse racing markets prior to the start. From the bookie’s perspective, they are taking in $104. By July 2010 he had taken the leap into full-time trading. As with matched betting, you can get a helping hand by using Caan Berry’s expertise and video guides to train you. 54. Bet 2 wins => you win 100 (the amount of stakes you layed) You break even overall. This is one of the most profitable Betfair trading strategies for horse racing. Fixed Odds & Multiples bets are placed with PPB Counterparty Services Limited which is. 00 in running, we are securing an even money winner. In summary this Betfair trading strategy for UK horse racing is one of many available. A lot of horse traders like to do their research in the morning before the racing. 0 pre-race is an example of swing trading. You can back, lay and trade or cash out w. It works by finding horses who’s odds on Betfair offer value compared with the average of traditional bookmakers. Learn how to make a profit from horse racing trading on Betfair with this comprehensive guide. In this video, we will look at how to trade order flow on pre-off horse racing markets using the Betfair exchange. After placing your lay bets, the odds lengthen to 8. Caan Berry is a renowned horse racing trading. You have £100 on at 8/1 in the morning (Bet 1) An hour before the off the horse is trading at 5/1. Scalping is a short-term trading strategy that focuses on making small profits from minor price movements in the betting market. The horse markets are often unpredictable and volatile, meaning it is easy to use this volatility to your advantage. Lay betting is one of those interesting horse racing betting strategies that can allow for a higher win probability (when employed correctly). In this revised and updated post from, it covers: How Betfair graphs and charts work. This would also result in a profit. 76 and expect to pay out $100 (including the stake. Laying horses in running has been a profitable strategy for bettors since the past decade. The software I use when trading horse racing markets is Geeks Toy. Of all the horse racing trading strategies (pre-race), this one gets people excited. 9. When you’re confident, it’s possible to use far larger stakes than some. There aren’t alternative payment plans right now although we hope. In most popular markets such as UK horse racing, Premier League and so on, you should be able to get a £100 bet on quite easily. . Steamers are the opposite of drifters. 5 6/4 for £20 you would be guaranteed to make £10 whether the horse won or lost. Watch a real life demo, get the. The profits are small because the trade happens between two opposing price point, but the bets are matched very quickly, allowing traders to nip in and out of a market at minimum. In-play tennis strategies often evolve around the break in serve…Place betting means betting on a horse finishing in one of the designated places. 310 Share 19K views 2 years ago #HorseRacing #Trading #ExchangeTrading If you're looking for a beginners horse racing trading strategy this video shares an example on Betfair's. That's the ideal strategy to win short-distance horse races, according to the first mathematical model to calculate how horses use up energy in races. Bet Angel contains an advanced. In this article, you will discover six horse racing betting strategies that work. Help is always at hand if needed. If out of the five matched bets, one wins the race, it. Dobbing is a popular horse racing trading strategy. Harry TheTrader 19 Aug 2022 2 minutes. Places usually become available each month for a number of reasons, life can often take us on a different path to what we intended and is always changing and I try and keep numbers fairly stable so if we loose 2 members during the. This means the total volume matched will be £20 at 2. Especially in two-year-old races flat racing. Simplicity and clear thinking is the start of any good strategy. 3 Horse Racing Trading Strategies; SCALPING: A Beginners Guide; Matched Betting Tips; 3 Tennis Trading Strategies; £400 Bank 3 Day Challenge;If you bet on both the teams, you are actually risking $104. Horse racing, with its myriad variables from the form of the horse to. When the price contracts you can cash-out for a profit. 0, there would be two bets matched (£10 each). 2. g. 1) makes your liability extremely low – therefore, your loss in case of a failure is minimal. 00:16:28 Free PDF with extra tips for lay the field strategy. And judging from the simplicity and lucrativeness of horse racing, trading greyhounds is even more beneficial. It relies on a horses price shortening significantly in-play. In addition, I have traded stocks and futures in financial markets at a propriety trading. 0 and then 4. Tip 1. For example; if the horse is now trading 2/1 and you have backed it at 3/1 – you have an excellent value bet. 20 to be made. In addition, I have traded stocks and futures in financial markets at a propriety trading. – 8 or more runners. 3 Horse Racing Trading Strategies; SCALPING: A Beginners Guide; Matched Betting Tips; 3 Tennis Trading Strategies; £400 Bank 3 Day Challenge; 4 Football Trading Strategies; 6 Full-Time Traders: 3 Questions; 5 Stages: Trading For A LivingHorse Racing tips are ten-a-penny online. 5 or 6. For anyone who’s not familiar with the concept of trading on Betfair, see the image below; To achieve the £2. Looking at the applications of the strategies and how they can be used to make a profit from the horse racing markets. Through betting exchanges, punters can oppose individual horses via the ‘Lay’ button. What makes a good trading strategy on Betfair? Well, there are a few things to consider. Personally, I went full-time sports trading in 2004 and quit in 2007. The odds on horses change dramatically in the 5 or 10 minutes leading up to a race. Horse Racing Trading in 2022 – In-depth Guide Low-risk trading strategies for beginners. This is a Betfair trading strategy. For example, if you’re trading pre-race, horse racing markets, you may want to focus on trading the live shows within the last ten minutes before each horse race. It happens in all betting exchange markets and influences a handful of factors so it’s important to understand. The lowest points of the chart rise steadily, which indicates the lay side is predominant. For example, if a horse named "Speedy Gal" has odds of 5. No matter what you’re trading, be it tennis, horse racing or football. Built by a team of racing experts and technologists, the app is powered by algorithms, crafted by humans for discerning punters. We have the ultimate horse racing strategy guide packed with moneymaking tips. 05 – 3. Chapter 3. Having played tennis as a youngster has helped him in understanding tennis markets. Having an interest in the sport is going to help you maintain your interest in trading, as noted before, becoming consistently profitable will take time. 95, 4. Many horses run in one race and stakes can be made on every one of them. Betfair trading works differently in different sports. A crossover point is where the incremental values change within the betting market. There are several horse racing trading strategies that we could use, but these markets aren’t robust enough for short-lived trading. 1. It's a simple Betfair trading video that shares some strategy. For horse racing, there are a few simple tips for beginners that can help you when you are just starting. Having played tennis as a youngster has helped him in understanding tennis markets. 3 Horse Racing Trading Strategies; SCALPING: A Beginners Guide; Matched Betting Tips; 3 Tennis Trading Strategies; £400 Bank 3 Day Challenge; 4 Football Trading Strategies; 6 Full-Time Traders: 3 Questions; 5 Stages: Trading For A LivingHorse Racing Betting vs Trading, Which is Better? If you're new to betting, choosing between horse racing and trading can be difficult. Depending on the sport you’re watching, the provider you’re using and if it’s online or via satellite will change the rest. DOB Tab – Highlighting those horse that have dobbed the most previously. It works on the majority of races and you’re risk-exposure is. Best Horse Racing Trading Strategies. This review will cover all the ideas and concepts behind laying horses in running for more profits. If you have researched tennis trading in any sort of way you will have probably come across the 15-40 Tennis Trading strategy which many have been using on Betfair for many years now. Trading would also allow you to see the sport in a better light; the fast pace, action, and excitement alongside the rapid price movement are electrifying. Betfair Graphs, Charts and Trading Analysis – Increasing Maximum Efficiency. Caan Berry is Horse racing trader that has been on the trading scene for quite a long time. It is a low-liability laying system that involves using a combination of factors to pick horses to lay on Betfair at odds-on. No. When the odds on Betfair are 3. 5ht are about 1. Available Lay money = £970 because (135 + 349 + 486) Available Back money = £891 because (344 + 301 + 246) 970 / (891 + 970) = 0. The 3 Simple Horse Racing Trading Strategies (for Betfair) are also very useful for you to understand how Betting Trading works. In a scalping strategy, the trader tries to catch small price movements and make money from them. Typically that middle period of activity starts a lot later. Initially, Betfair graphs can appear confusing, but they don’t need to. The win bet wins if the horse wins the race. Another important. 5 Use your Betfair account credentials to log on to the App. Trading over 2. 2 Search for the best App for you by using the filters or search bar. A simple, effective trading strategy that has been profitable for many traders over the years, is backing/laying a horse before the race, with a view to exiting the trade at a bigger/shorter price In Running (IR) to make a profit. Although the risk to reward ratio of this strategy is low still, using it rightly can set your games right. 2 – Pre-Race Scalping. The system was carefully developed after I had kept failing at making great profits on horse races. Tip 1. Leaving the draw lay to run for the full game (no exit strategy). In a race of ten horses, if you decide to lay the field at a price of 3. Buy The National Hunt Lay System For Only £19. Again, making use of past performance analysis, you will bet on horses that have the most recent past wins. A significant advantage of this strategy is that placing a lay bet at very low odds (1. 05. No. The reasoning behind this strategy is relatively simple. Even though there are many horse racing trading strategies out there, it’s hard to find good strategies that you can trade easily and profitably. No. This can create value for the underdog to take a lead with little. 56, which balances out your liability and locks in a profit. 3 Horse Racing Trading Strategies; SCALPING: A Beginners Guide; Matched Betting Tips; 3 Tennis Trading Strategies; £400 Bank 3 Day Challenge; 4 Football Trading Strategies; 6 Full-Time Traders: 3 Questions; 5 Stages: Trading For A LivingGet the PDF here: the Lay The Field Demo video in full here: I demonstrated how to. However, there’s a problem… Due to the structure of horse racing…Whether you’re looking to back winners, find each-way value picks or place multiple bets, Betting. But that means there are pitfalls. Historical RacesPreparing to Trade Part 1 - Horse Racing with John Folan. 3, once the game goes in-play and it’s 0-0 the market has to get to 1000. The concept is that the jockey knows the horse well enough and has a higher chance to place first. The calculation for matched volume goes something like this: If I was to place a £10 back bet at 2. A Dutch bet covers a number of selections in a sports betting market, rather than just one. One of our most popular Betfair trading horse racing strategies is to back the favourite at certain odds and courses. Patent on selections 4, 5, and 6 (another 7 bets: 3 singles, 3 doubles, and a treble). Find out more by reading this recent article about Betfair trading for beginners. If you are interested in learning how to trade horse racing on Betfair then this is the video for you. According to fellow horse racing author James Quinn, one of the big advantages of the BB+SR method is that it “offers the best return on money invested by the small bettor. Discover strategies and tips to help you become a successful trader and maximize your profits. The second section will deal with trading techniques that are more suited to when the horses are actually running. Correspondence Address: Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Laying The Field: A Simple Betfair Racing Trading Strategy. By Caan January 31, 2011 Betfair, Betting Explanations, Horse Racing. You can use a variety of betting strategies, scalping or swing trading being two common. When you consider that a single directional scalp of £200 is worth around £4-5 per tick at a price range of 4. This strategy is potentially the simplest one. For more information about Geeks Toy and how to use it, check out this post. 00 in running, we are securing an even money winner. In such cases, there is a higher chance of your system panning out better. Licence Number: MGA/CL3/454/2008 17th March 2015, Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. I was pleased with the 7% roi after tho. S o many of you have asked for this I am now giving away a free mini-course on Betfair Horse Racing Trading. Tennis is wildly different to the likes of horse racing trading, and so you need a different strategy. While the returns aren’t likely to be as big as waiting until the end of the race, this does at. In fact, having done a quick “google” I could barely find any information about what it is, how it works and what it means for us punters. Conclusion. A front-running horse’s price will typically contract in-play, due to its running style. Then you lay all the runners in the field and set the bets to be ‘kept’ when. 1) The ascending triangle – the trend is against a horizontal point of resistance. 5 will mean risking £150 to win £100, which is the same as backing a selection at 1. 1, it’s easy to see profits building up. Betting Tools: Software like Bet Angel or Geek's Toy can help you manage your bets more effectively, offering features like one-click betting and automated trading strategies. Most of the action happens in the final 10 minutes, so this will give you a few minutes to settle in before it gets busy. It’s just a slang word to describe a particular strategy. Packed with expert insights, tick-by-tick strategies, and hands-on examples, this guide is your ticket to mastering the art of trading and making money by trading the pre-race horse markets on Betfair. Background. Strict routine and disciplined staking is the fastest way to succeed. When betting in running, this is extremely. This sports trading strategy of placing a lay bet is a set and forget strategy. A trading plan serves as your roadmap in the chaotic world of horse racing trading. In the summer there is evening racing so if you want to trade. 00:07:21 Limited risk, potential profit in horse racing. Several traders don’t pay attention to the market moves before the race begins. Dobbing stands for “double or bust” it is a Betfair trading strategy used on the horse racing markets. That is, the risk factor associated with the method is as low as can be found anywhere. Caan Berry is a renowned horse racing trading. Skimming and scalping out very small tick increments within the. Chapter 3. In such cases you can often get lay bets. Trading is the simple process of backing at higher prices than you lay at and netting a profit. The company behind that deal, Experiential Squared, announced Thursday that it had raised $7 million in new capital to expand its MyRacehorse product with lead investor 1/ST Racing & Gaming and. The Laying The Field or “Lay All” method is one of the easiest horse racing trading strategies to learn for beginners. As a no-nonsense Yorkshire man, he has been trading the tennis markets ever since. Key features include: WATCH LIVE RACING & RACE REPLAYS - from UK and Irish. If five bets are matched, and none of them emerges as the race winner, you stand to gain £50. Our Horse Racing Trading Strategy - Back the Favourite 3. This plan serves as a roadmap, reducing the chance of emotionally driven decision-making. Step 2 For each horse in the race from Step 1 above, identify it’s last handicap race where it finished in the top 3 positions i. 3. The expectation is that the odds will shorten to reflect that of the market average making an opportunity to profit by trading the odds. 0 and when it trades 7. 1 - VALUE BETTING So, if you are at all familiar with general. One of the simpler strategies that Caan Berry uses is to. A horse that is even money before the off can quickly go odds-on in a matter. The system was developed to work across the traditional winter jumps season and the summer jumps season. 0. 00 in running, regardless of whether it wins or loses, £100 profit is guaranteed. Scalping a betting market, like pre off horse racing, is all about profiting from small price movements in a highly liquid. Here is my complete guide to trading 'In Running' on Betfair horse racing markets. At this point, your potential profit or loss depends on the number of bets that will match in-running. Horse racing arbing has became much less profitable as prices change with Betfair almost and also having not many betting accounts left so looking to for a change. Pre-race trading has several advantages over other strategies! Allows multiple approaches (Swing trading, scalping, short-term trading, long-term trading). Sectional Timing – One of interest “on the clock”. The most important thing we have to do is to find a race in which the two highest-placed horses have an excellent series of victories.